Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.181458 0.203338 0.226153 0.251661 0.279329 0.308376 0.341119
2025-02-02 0.157374 0.187898 0.221232 0.260145 0.304124 0.352093 0.408167
2025-02-09 0.136024 0.171807 0.212497 0.261777 0.319420 0.384281 0.462337
2025-02-16 0.120625 0.160288 0.207041 0.265512 0.335939 0.417285 0.517556
2025-02-23 0.111140 0.154479 0.207203 0.274988 0.358682 0.457480 0.581690
2025-03-02 0.098034 0.142658 0.198701 0.272751 0.366420 0.479337 0.623984
2025-03-09 0.088014 0.133708 0.192816 0.272892 0.376412 0.503549 0.669117
2025-03-16 0.078843 0.124938 0.186299 0.271435 0.383778 0.524167 0.709792
2025-03-23 0.073440 0.120798 0.185443 0.277000 0.399949 0.555855 0.764633
2025-03-30 0.066873 0.114363 0.180890 0.277117 0.408635 0.577862 0.807350
2025-04-06 0.060927 0.108277 0.176313 0.276738 0.416323 0.598429 0.848317
2025-04-13 0.055634 0.102686 0.171992 0.276310 0.423650 0.618401 0.888618
2025-04-20 0.051331 0.098466 0.169648 0.278891 0.435645 0.645495 0.939804
2025-04-27 0.048957 0.097124 0.171455 0.287444 0.456119 0.684359 1.007343
2025-05-04 0.045057 0.092903 0.168570 0.288870 0.466435 0.709561 1.057013
2025-05-11 0.042077 0.089955 0.167423 0.292716 0.480171 0.739594 1.113626
2025-05-18 0.040693 0.089660 0.170399 0.302826 0.503145 0.782764 1.188782
2025-05-25 0.036875 0.084635 0.165401 0.300363 0.507488 0.799879 1.228369
2025-06-01 0.033908 0.080880 0.162217 0.300486 0.515509 0.822163 1.275308
2025-06-08 0.030908 0.076760 0.158126 0.298901 0.520777 0.840479 1.316859
2025-06-15 0.029428 0.075471 0.158771 0.304886 0.537585 0.875548 1.382365
2025-06-22 0.027135 0.072311 0.155938 0.305007 0.545295 0.897492 1.429549
2025-06-29 0.024956 0.069161 0.152902 0.304596 0.552060 0.918060 1.474966